€ / $: lower within two weeks?

Catégorie [ € / $ ]

Long term: lower

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal, Bollinger bands could be flat. Our 7 / 23 moving averages will be without main trend. Our stochastic could be overbought next period.

On a quarterly basis, the status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish no-crossover. As long as MQ proves to be a support, a technical decline is in progress. Below MQ (at the close), LQ will be our main target.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is maximal. A bearish A type crossover will be the next status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages. The status for our stochastic and MACD is overbought. As long as MM proves to be a resistance, LM could be a target.

Idea: with a bearish A type crossover for our monthly moving averages, the bear trend will extend.

Bet: MM will act as a resistance

R = MM (1.3994), UY (1.5109);    S= MQ (1.3571), LM (1.2433)

 

Medium term: next pattern could be a bearish parallel one

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread was thin when a close below LW occurred. If UW trend is up for two periods, a bearish parallel qualification will be in hand for our weekly pattern. 

Idea: a new bearish parallel pattern will develop if MD acts as a resistance this week

Bet: bearish no-crossover for our stochastic.

R = MD (1.3861);     S = MQ (1.3571)

 

Short term: bearish parallel patternlrt term

On a daily basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules

Bet: as long as M23 trend is down, a recovery is only a technical recovery.

R = MD (1.3861), UD (1.4216);   S = LD (1.3506)

 

Conclusion: with a weekly bearish parallel pattern, LM could be a target this year.

 

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11 Commentaires sur l'article: “€ / $: lower within two weeks?”

  • christophe
    1 mars, 2010, 11:22

    Devises EUR/USD : objectif hebdomadaire … vente 1,3650$ –> rachat 1,3370$.

  • pierre
    3 mars, 2010, 13:24

    il ne reste que 2 jours :-) mais les MM tiennent pour le moment

  • pierre
    3 mars, 2010, 18:48

    la MA7 en weekly tient toujours, shortez vous l’euro/usd?

  • christophe
    4 mars, 2010, 9:17

    Oui. En début de semaine l’EU/USD était bien parti -200 pips … et hier drawdown de 90 pips. L’objectif reste viable …

  • christophe
    8 mars, 2010, 12:32

    Clôyure hebdo à 1,3620 … 30 pips de gains.

  • christophe
    8 mars, 2010, 12:33

    Devises EUR/USD : je garde la même stratégie de la semaine dernière … objectif hebdomadaire … vente 1,3650$ –> rachat 1,3370$.

  • fabrice
    9 mars, 2010, 2:54

    meme strategie car les cours n’ont pas franchi MA7 en cloture la semaine derniere?

  • christophe
    9 mars, 2010, 10:57

    Non. De mon point de vue, le franchissement de la M7 n’a aucune incidence dynamique sur les graphiques, le sens …oui.

  • pierre
    10 mars, 2010, 18:30

    je shorte l’euro comme toi christophe et il ne veut pas descendre pour le momen t :-)

  • christophe
    11 mars, 2010, 8:52

    Depuis 2 semaines, l’euro baisse le matin … et reprend ses pertes l’après-midi …

  • pierre
    11 mars, 2010, 12:51

    interessant en effet, meme si ce n’est pas le cas ce matin!

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