€ / $: lower within two weeks?
Long term: lower
On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal, Bollinger bands could be flat. Our 7 / 23 moving averages will be without main trend. Our stochastic could be overbought next period.
On a quarterly basis, the status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish no-crossover. As long as MQ proves to be a support, a technical decline is in progress. Below MQ (at the close), LQ will be our main target.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is maximal. A bearish A type crossover will be the next status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages. The status for our stochastic and MACD is overbought. As long as MM proves to be a resistance, LM could be a target.
Idea: with a bearish A type crossover for our monthly moving averages, the bear trend will extend.
Bet: MM will act as a resistance
R = MM (1.3994), UY (1.5109); S= MQ (1.3571), LM (1.2433)
Medium term: next pattern could be a bearish parallel one
On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread was thin when a close below LW occurred. If UW trend is up for two periods, a bearish parallel qualification will be in hand for our weekly pattern.
Idea: a new bearish parallel pattern will develop if MD acts as a resistance this week
Bet: bearish no-crossover for our stochastic.
R = MD (1.3861); S = MQ (1.3571)
Short term: bearish parallel pattern
On a daily basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress.
Idea: use bearish parallel rules
Bet: as long as M23 trend is down, a recovery is only a technical recovery.
R = MD (1.3861), UD (1.4216); S = LD (1.3506)
Conclusion: with a weekly bearish parallel pattern, LM could be a target this year.


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11 Commentaires sur l'article: “€ / $: lower within two weeks?”
Devises EUR/USD : objectif hebdomadaire … vente 1,3650$ –> rachat 1,3370$.
il ne reste que 2 jours
mais les MM tiennent pour le moment
la MA7 en weekly tient toujours, shortez vous l’euro/usd?
Oui. En début de semaine l’EU/USD était bien parti -200 pips … et hier drawdown de 90 pips. L’objectif reste viable …
Clôyure hebdo à 1,3620 … 30 pips de gains.
Devises EUR/USD : je garde la même stratégie de la semaine dernière … objectif hebdomadaire … vente 1,3650$ –> rachat 1,3370$.
meme strategie car les cours n’ont pas franchi MA7 en cloture la semaine derniere?
Non. De mon point de vue, le franchissement de la M7 n’a aucune incidence dynamique sur les graphiques, le sens …oui.
je shorte l’euro comme toi christophe et il ne veut pas descendre pour le momen t
Depuis 2 semaines, l’euro baisse le matin … et reprend ses pertes l’après-midi …
interessant en effet, meme si ce n’est pas le cas ce matin!