Gold: technical recovery

Catégorie [ Or ]

Long term: below MQ?

On a yearly basis: a type II is in progress. LY could continue to decline with a bullish T9. This PEI is the strongest that we know. Expect to use Dow Jones 1980 / 2000 bull trend as a benchmark. But our stochastic is overbought.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic. MACD is overbought. If MQ fails as a support, PY / LQ is our next objective.

On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is under the 2005 level and is expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our MACD. A type A is the status for our moving averages.

Idea: monthly MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: focus on UM trend.

R= MM (1644.6);    S= MQ (1327), PY (818), LQ (716)

Medium term: bearish pre-parallel

On a weekly basis, a bearish parallel is in progress.

Idea: use parallel rules

Bet: a PEI could be the status for our MACD.

R= PW (1502.5);   S= see long term analysis (UM trend)

Short term: neutral

On a daily basis, as long as our stochastic is not overbought, the recovery in progress could continue.

Idea: focus on daily M7

Bet: rise above 1488.13 and decline below 1440.52.

R= 1488.13, PW (1502.5);   S= 1440.52, daily stochastic overbought, LD (1344)

Conclusion: technical recovery as long as PW proves to be a resistance.