€uro / Dollar: technical recovery in progress

Catégorie [ € / $ ]

Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages will be flat. Stochastic and MACD are overbought. MY is our first support and 1.1640 (2005 low) is the next one.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. A PEI is in progress for TAM tools. June 2010 low (1.1877) is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. With a PEI for our stochastic, a type II could develop this year.

Idea: lower as long as our monthly MACD is not oversold

Bet: below 1.1877 is not ruled out.

R= MQ (1.3836);    S= 1.2042 (current low), 1.1877, 1.1640, 1.000.

Medium term: technical recovery

On a weekly basis, as long as M23 trend is down, MW is a maximal target.

Idea: higher as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet: our 23 weeks moving average will continue to decline.

R = MW (1.261);     S = MD (1.2328), LW (1.1958).

Short term: rise

On a daily basis, a close occurred above UD with a NEI  in progress on the weekly time frame.

Idea: higher as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: MW is a strong resistance.

R = MW (1.261);   S = MD (1.2328), LD (1.2209).

Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, the technical recovery in progress could continue.