S&P 500: not bearish before mid-August
Long term basis: technical correction?
On a yearly basis, the status for our MACD is a bearish divergence. Furthermore, our MACD and stochastic are overbought at the same period. Next period, a new status is not ruled out. As long as our M7 is up, the main pattern is always a bullish parallel pattern. UY is the far away maximal target. Below MY, a collapse could develop.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is maximal. A bullish A type crossover could develop with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. A PEI is in progress with our stochastic.
On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not a reference one. The status for our 7 / 23 months moving is a PEI. As long as our MACD is not overbought, the rise in progress will continue.
Idea: towards UQ as long as PM proves to be a support
Bet: with an overbought status for our MACD, PM will be our next target.
R = PY (1504), UQ (1614); S = PM (1173), MQ (1216)
Medium term: weak
On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is minimal and expending. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our MACD. Our monthly moving averages are up. No bear pattern could develop.
Idea: decline as long as MW = resistance.
Bet: MW is a strong resistance (bearish pre-parallel in August?).
R = MW (1317); S= PM (1173)
Short term: MD = first resistance
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is a reference one. Above MD, MW is our next target.
Idea: focus on M7 trend.
Bet: nothing to do until early July.
R = MD (1293), MW (1317); S= LD (1250), PM (1173)
Conclusion: weak, as long as MW (1317) = resistance.

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